Understanding Asset Value

Analysis Period: Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) SEC EDGAR
2026-02-06 11:35:54
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.
$321.65
Price from Yahoo Finance
Today: -2.90% | YTD: +5.1%

How Alphabet Inc. Makes Money

Revenue by segment flowing through costs to profit (FY2024) | Source: Alphabet 2024 FY2024 10-K Filing

Revenue
$402.8B
Gross Profit
$240.1B
60% margin
Operating Income
$129.8B
32% margin
Net Income
$136.2B
34% margin

Revenue & Profit by Segment

FY2024 data from Alphabet 2024 FY2024 10-K Filing

Segment What They Sell Revenue % of Total Op. Income Margin
Google Search N/A $175.0B
56%
$70.0B 40%
Google Cloud N/A $37.0B
12%
$5.0B 14%
YouTube Ads N/A $36.0B
11%
$8.0B 22%
Other (Play, Hardware) N/A $35.0B
11%
$4.0B 11%
Google Network N/A $31.0B
10%
$6.0B 19%

Current Price

Price $321.65
52-Week High $349.00
52-Week Low $140.53

Market Data

Market Cap $3891.00B
Shares Outstanding 5.82B
Beta 1.09

Valuation Ratios

P/E (TTM) 29.78x
P/E (Forward) 24.18x
EV/EBITDA 26.21x

Next Earnings Call

No upcoming earnings date found.

Financial Health

Profit Margin 32.8%
ROE 35.7%
Revenue Growth 18.0%

Levered Free Cash Flow (TTM) - Cash That Can't Lie

$44.19B 1.14% Yield
$164.71B OCF - $77.87B CapEx - $55.76B Buybacks - $0.44B Interest = $44.19B

Source: Cash Flow Statement | LFCF = Operating Cash Flow - CapEx - Interest Expense

BUY

Fair Value: $424.78

+32.1% Upside

Stock appears undervalued with 32.1% upside to fair value. High confidence based on valuation spread and data quality.

Investment Verdict

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) currently trades at $321.65, representing a 32.1% discount to our calculated fair value of $424.78.

Key Strengths: Net cash position (negative net debt); Strong interest coverage (212.6x); High profit margins (32.8%).

Key Risks: No significant concerns identified.

The company generates $44.19B in levered free cash flow annually, providing real cash returns to shareholders. Wall Street consensus is strong_buy with a mean price target of $366.91.

Business Simplicity Filter

CriterionStatusNotes
≤4 operating segments PASS Segment count estimated from sector classification. Verify in 10-K for accuracy.
Top 2 segments ≥70% of revenue PASS Revenue concentration estimated. Verify segment breakdown in 10-K.
≤3 material geographic regions PASS Most US-listed companies report US vs International (2 regions).
No exotic debt instruments or off-balance-sheet complexity PASS Review 10-K for convertibles, derivatives, and off-balance-sheet items.

Recommendation: PROCEED TO VALUATION

Company Profile

Employees 190,820
Country United States

Alphabet Inc. offers various products and platforms in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and Latin America. It operates through Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets segments. The Google Services segment provides products and services, including ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Gmail, Google Drive, Google Maps, Google Photos, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. It is also involved in the sale of apps and in-app purchases and digital content in the Google Play and YouTube; and devices, as well as the provision of YouTube consumer subscription services, such as YouTube TV, YouTube Music and Premium, NFL Sunday Ticket, and Google One. The Google Cloud segment provides consumption-based fees and subscriptions for AI solutions, including AI infrastructure, Vertex AI platform, and Gemini enterprise. It also provides cybersecurity, and data and analytics services; Google Workspace that include cloud-based communication and collaboration tools for enterprises, such as Calendar, Gmail, Docs, Drive, and Meet; and other enterprise services. The Other Bets segment sells transportation and internet services. Alphabet Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.

Enterprise Value Calculation

Market Capitalization $3891.00B
(+) Total Debt $59.29B
(-) Cash & Equivalents $126.84B
Net Debt ($67.55B) - Net Cash
Enterprise Value $3823.45B
EV = Market Cap + Total Debt - Cash = $3891.00B + $59.29B - $126.84B = $3823.45B

Leverage & Solvency

MetricValueWhat It Means
Net Debt / EBITDA -0.60x Net Cash Position - More cash than debt
Interest Coverage 212.6x Excellent
Debt / Equity 14.3% Conservative
Current Ratio 2.00 Healthy - can easily pay short-term bills

Overall: Balance sheet is strong with conservative leverage.

Peer Comparison

Industry: Internet Content & Information | Data: TTM (Trailing 12 Months) as of 2026-02-06 | Source: Yahoo Finance

CompanyMarket CapP/EForward P/EEV/EBITDAProfit Margin
GOOGL (Target) $3892.7B 29.8x 24.2x 26.2x 32.8%
META $1665.9B 28.1x 18.6x 16.7x 30.1%
PINS $13.2B 6.8x 10.2x 34.6x 49.0%
TTD $13.1B 30.5x 12.9x 18.8x 15.7%
SNAP $8.8B 0.0x 8.8x -27.0x -7.8%
Peer Average (excl. target) - 29.3x 11.6x 17.7x 30.1%

Intrinsic Value Calculation

MethodInputsFair Value
Equity (TTM EPS) EPS: $10.80 x 35.4x P/E $382.32
Equity (Forward EPS) EPS: $13.30 x 35.4x P/E $470.87
EV-Based (EBITDA) EBITDA: $112.41B x 21.4x $424.78
Headline Fair Value Median value used (spread 20.8% exceeds 15% threshold) $424.78
Fair Multiples Basis: Fair P/E of 35.4x and EV/EBITDA of 21.4x. Multiples adjusted for above-average growth and strong profitability.

Sensitivity Analysis

P/E Multiple Sensitivity (using TTM EPS)

Low (33x)
Base (35x)
High (37x)
$360.72
$382.32
$403.92

EV/EBITDA Multiple Sensitivity

Low (20x)
Base (21x)
High (22x)
$405.47
$424.78
$444.08

Red / Green Dashboard

Green Factors (Positive)

  • Net cash position (negative net debt)
  • Strong interest coverage (212.6x)
  • High profit margins (32.8%)
  • Strong revenue growth (18.0%)
  • Low short interest
  • Active share buyback program

Red Factors (Concerns)

  • No significant concerns identified

Assessment: Strong positive profile with multiple favorable factors.

Seasoned Analyst Perspective

Valuation Context

GOOGL trades at 29.8x TTM P/E and 24.2x Forward P/E. This compares to peer averages of 29.3x TTM and 11.6x Forward P/E.

Cash Flow Quality

The company generates positive levered free cash flow of $44.19B, demonstrating its ability to generate real cash after all obligations.

Analyst Consensus

55 analysts cover this stock with a consensus strong_buy rating. Price targets range from $185 to $432, with a mean of $367.

Market Sentiment Indicators

VIX
VIX (Fear Index)

18.55 - Neutral/Low Fear

Neutral/Low Fear
F&G
CNN Fear & Greed Index

Score: 43/100

Fear
SKEW
CBOE SKEW Index (Tail Risk)

137.16

Elevated Tail Risk Concerns
MKT
Market Breadth

SPY YTD: 14.8% | RSP YTD: 13.1%

Healthy Breadth

Supply Chain Analysis

No customer/supplier data available for this company. Data is curated from SEC 10-K filings for major tech companies.

Analyst Data

Price Targets

High Target $432.00
Mean Target $366.91
Low Target $185.00

Consensus

Recommendation strong_buy
# of Analysts 55

Data Sources & Citations

Yahoo Finance
SEC EDGAR
CBOE
CNN
Derived / Calculated

All financial data sourced from:

Click any colored number or source label throughout the report to view its source.

Disclaimer

This analysis is generated automatically using publicly available data and should not be considered as financial advice. All figures are sourced from Yahoo Finance and SEC EDGAR and may contain inaccuracies. Always verify data with primary sources (SEC filings, company IR) before making investment decisions.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.

Run Analysis with Different Period

Current: Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) | Data Source: SEC EDGAR

Why Levered Free Cash Flow Matters

Levered FCF is cash that can't be faked. Unlike earnings which can be manipulated through accounting (depreciation schedules, revenue recognition, etc.), cash flow is simple: the money is either in the bank or it's not.

This metric shows how much actual cash the company generates after paying for:

A company with strong Levered FCF can pay dividends, buy back shares, pay down debt, or invest in growth - all from real cash, not accounting profits.

Why Customer & Supplier Earnings Matter

Customers and suppliers report earnings BEFORE the company you're analyzing. Their results give you early signals about demand and supply chain health.

Customer Example: If Microsoft (AMD customer) beats revenue estimates by 20%, it likely means they bought more chips than analysts expected. This is bullish for AMD's upcoming earnings.

Supplier Example: If TSMC (AMD supplier) reports strong demand from AMD, that confirms AMD's production is ramping up.

By the time AMD reports, you already have data points from 5+ related companies. Smart analysts piece these together to predict earnings before they're announced.

Why Segment Breakdown Matters

Not all revenue is equal. Different business segments have different growth rates and profit margins.

For example, AMD's Data Center segment has ~40% margins while Gaming might be ~15%. A shift toward Data Center means higher overall profitability even if total revenue stays flat.

Watch for: