Income Statement Flow (TTM) | Source: Yahoo Finance
Source: Cash Flow Statement | LFCF = Operating Cash Flow - CapEx - Interest Expense
Fair Value: $15.42
-1.9% Downside
Stock is trading near fair value (-1.9% from target). Current price reflects fundamentals appropriately.
Lyft, Inc. (LYFT) currently trades at $15.71, representing a -1.9% premium to our calculated fair value of $15.42.
Key Strengths: Net cash position (negative net debt); Active share buyback program.
Key Risks: Weak interest coverage (1.1x); Significant YTD decline (-20.6%); Elevated short interest (16.3% of float).
The company generates $1.00B in levered free cash flow annually, providing real cash returns to shareholders. Wall Street consensus is hold with a mean price target of $24.13.
| Criterion | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| ≤4 operating segments | PASS | Segment count estimated from sector classification. Verify in 10-K for accuracy. |
| Top 2 segments ≥70% of revenue | PASS | Revenue concentration estimated. Verify segment breakdown in 10-K. |
| ≤3 material geographic regions | PASS | Most US-listed companies report US vs International (2 regions). |
| No exotic debt instruments or off-balance-sheet complexity | REVIEW | Review 10-K for convertibles, derivatives, and off-balance-sheet items. |
Recommendation: REVIEW COMPLEXITY - Some filters require manual verification
Lyft, Inc. operates a peer-to-peer marketplace for on-demand ridesharing in the United States and Canada. The company operates multimodal transportation networks that offer access to various transportation options through the Lyft platform and mobile-based applications. Its platform provides a ridesharing marketplace that connects drivers with riders; Express Drive, a car rental program for drivers; and a network of shared bikes and scooters in various cities to address the needs of riders for short trips. The company was formerly known as Zimride, Inc. and changed its name to Lyft, Inc. in April 2013. Lyft, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
| Market Capitalization | $6.39B |
| (+) Total Debt | $1.32B |
| (-) Cash & Equivalents | $1.99B |
| Net Debt | ($0.67B) - Net Cash |
| Enterprise Value | $5.71B |
| Metric | Value | What It Means |
|---|---|---|
| Net Debt / EBITDA | -4.31x | Net Cash Position - More cash than debt |
| Interest Coverage | 1.1x | Weak - Concern |
| Debt / Equity | 230.1% | High Leverage |
| Current Ratio | 0.72 | Review - may struggle with short-term obligations |
Overall: Balance sheet shows elevated leverage - requires careful analysis.
Industry: Software - Application | Data: TTM (Trailing 12 Months) as of 2026-02-05 | Source: Yahoo Finance
| Company | Market Cap | P/E | Forward P/E | EV/EBITDA | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INTU | $121.4B | 29.9x | 16.5x | 0.0x | 21.2% |
| ADBE | $112.9B | 16.1x | 10.2x | 12.4x | 30.0% |
| SNPS | $78.5B | 50.7x | 24.3x | 68.9x | 18.9% |
| CDNS | $73.8B | 69.8x | 33.6x | 39.0x | 20.4% |
| LYFT (Target) | $6.4B | 42.5x | 10.6x | 43.7x | 2.4% |
| ANSS | N/A | 0.0x | 0.0x | 0.0x | 0.0% |
| Peer Average (excl. target) | - | 40.3x | 20.4x | 39.0x | 20.4% |
| Method | Inputs | Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| Equity (TTM EPS) | EPS: $0.37 x 36.3x P/E | $13.43 |
| Equity (Forward EPS) | EPS: $1.49 x 36.3x P/E | $54.05 |
| EV-Based (EBITDA) | EBITDA: $0.16B x 35.1x | $15.42 |
| Headline Fair Value | Median value used (spread 147.0% exceeds 15% threshold) | $15.42 |
Assessment: Mixed profile. Balanced positive and negative factors.
LYFT trades at 42.5x TTM P/E and 10.6x Forward P/E. This compares to peer averages of 40.3x TTM and 20.4x Forward P/E. Note: The significant gap between TTM and Forward P/E suggests analysts expect substantial earnings improvement.
The company generates positive levered free cash flow of $1.00B, demonstrating its ability to generate real cash after all obligations. The 15.7% LFCF yield is attractive.
38 analysts cover this stock with a consensus hold rating. Price targets range from $16 to $32, with a mean of $24.
21.21 - Elevated Fear
Score: 34/100
143.16
SPY YTD: 13.4% | RSP YTD: 11.3%
No customer/supplier data available for this company. Data is curated from SEC 10-K filings for major tech companies.
Track Record: 5 beats, 2 misses, 1 in-line out of 8 quarters | 62% Beat Rate
| Date | EPS Estimate | EPS Actual | Result | Surprise % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 | $0.31 | $0.30 | MISS | -2.2% |
| 2025-08-06 | $0.28 | $0.30 | BEAT | 5.5% |
| 2025-05-08 | $0.20 | $0.11 | MISS | -46.6% |
| 2025-02-11 | $-0.01 | $0.16 | BEAT | 1262.0% |
| 2024-11-06 | $-0.03 | $-0.03 | MET | 3.3% |
| 2024-08-07 | $0.19 | $0.24 | BEAT | 25.0% |
| 2024-05-07 | $0.08 | $0.15 | BEAT | 81.8% |
| 2024-02-13 | $0.08 | $0.16 | BEAT | 94.9% |
All financial data sourced from:
Click any colored number or source label throughout the report to view its source.
This analysis is generated automatically using publicly available data and should not be considered as financial advice. All figures are sourced from Yahoo Finance and SEC EDGAR and may contain inaccuracies. Always verify data with primary sources (SEC filings, company IR) before making investment decisions.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.
Current: Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) | Data Source: SEC EDGAR
Levered FCF is cash that can't be faked. Unlike earnings which can be manipulated through accounting (depreciation schedules, revenue recognition, etc.), cash flow is simple: the money is either in the bank or it's not.
This metric shows how much actual cash the company generates after paying for:
A company with strong Levered FCF can pay dividends, buy back shares, pay down debt, or invest in growth - all from real cash, not accounting profits.
Customers and suppliers report earnings BEFORE the company you're analyzing. Their results give you early signals about demand and supply chain health.
Customer Example: If Microsoft (AMD customer) beats revenue estimates by 20%, it likely means they bought more chips than analysts expected. This is bullish for AMD's upcoming earnings.
Supplier Example: If TSMC (AMD supplier) reports strong demand from AMD, that confirms AMD's production is ramping up.
By the time AMD reports, you already have data points from 5+ related companies. Smart analysts piece these together to predict earnings before they're announced.
Not all revenue is equal. Different business segments have different growth rates and profit margins.
For example, AMD's Data Center segment has ~40% margins while Gaming might be ~15%. A shift toward Data Center means higher overall profitability even if total revenue stays flat.
Watch for: