Income Statement Flow (TTM) | Source: Yahoo Finance
No upcoming earnings date found.
Fair Value: $155.51
+137.3% Upside
Stock appears undervalued with 137.3% upside to fair value. High confidence based on valuation spread and data quality.
Altria Group, Inc. (MO) currently trades at $65.53, representing a 137.3% discount to our calculated fair value of $155.51.
Key Strengths: Strong balance sheet (Net Debt/EBITDA: 1.9x); Strong interest coverage (10.4x); High profit margins (46.9%).
Key Risks: Declining revenue (-0.5%).
Wall Street consensus is buy with a mean price target of $62.58.
| Criterion | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| ≤4 operating segments | PASS | Segment count estimated from sector classification. Verify in 10-K for accuracy. |
| Top 2 segments ≥70% of revenue | PASS | Revenue concentration estimated. Verify segment breakdown in 10-K. |
| ≤3 material geographic regions | PASS | Most US-listed companies report US vs International (2 regions). |
| No exotic debt instruments or off-balance-sheet complexity | PASS | Review 10-K for convertibles, derivatives, and off-balance-sheet items. |
Recommendation: PROCEED TO VALUATION
Altria Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells smokeable and oral tobacco products in the United States. The company offers cigarettes primarily under the Marlboro brand; large cigars and pipe tobacco under the Black & Mild brand; moist smokeless tobacco and oral tobacco products under the Copenhagen, Skoal, Red Seal, and Husky brands; oral nicotine pouches under the on! brand; and e-vapor products under the NJOY ACE brand. It sells its products to distributors, as well as large retail organizations, such as chain stores. Altria Group, Inc. was founded in 1822 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
| Market Capitalization | $110.00B |
| (+) Total Debt | $24.93B |
| (-) Cash & Equivalents | $3.13B |
| Net Debt | $21.80B |
| Enterprise Value | $131.80B |
| Metric | Value | What It Means |
|---|---|---|
| Net Debt / EBITDA | 1.89x | Strong |
| Interest Coverage | 10.4x | Very Strong |
| Debt / Equity | N/A | N/A |
| Current Ratio | 0.65 | Review - may struggle with short-term obligations |
Overall: Balance sheet is strong with conservative leverage.
Industry: Tobacco | Data: TTM (Trailing 12 Months) as of 2026-02-06 | Source: Yahoo Finance
| Company | Market Cap | P/E | Forward P/E | EV/EBITDA | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | $1037.8B | 45.5x | 43.8x | 25.2x | 3.3% |
| COST | $442.6B | 53.3x | 44.8x | 32.8x | 3.0% |
| PG | $372.9B | 23.6x | 21.8x | 16.0x | 19.3% |
| KO | $338.1B | 26.0x | 24.4x | 22.8x | 27.3% |
| PEP | $230.3B | 28.1x | 18.5x | 15.0x | 8.8% |
| MO (Target) | $110.0B | 15.9x | 11.3x | 10.5x | 34.5% |
| Peer Average (excl. target) | - | 27.0x | 24.4x | 22.8x | 8.8% |
| Method | Inputs | Fair Value |
|---|---|---|
| Equity (TTM EPS) | EPS: $6.54 x 26.8x P/E | $175.27 |
| Equity (Forward EPS) | EPS: $5.80 x 26.8x P/E | $155.51 |
| EV-Based (EBITDA) | EBITDA: $11.53B x 22.6x | $142.57 |
| Headline Fair Value | Median value used (spread 20.7% exceeds 15% threshold) | $155.51 |
Assessment: Strong positive profile with multiple favorable factors.
MO trades at 10.0x TTM P/E and 11.3x Forward P/E. This compares to peer averages of 27.0x TTM and 24.4x Forward P/E.
Cash flow data unavailable for detailed analysis.
12 analysts cover this stock with a consensus buy rating. Price targets range from $47 to $73, with a mean of $63.
17.99 - Neutral/Low Fear
Score: 44/100
137.16
SPY YTD: 14.8% | RSP YTD: 13.1%
No customer/supplier data available for this company. Data is curated from SEC 10-K filings for major tech companies.
All financial data sourced from:
Click any colored number or source label throughout the report to view its source.
This analysis is generated automatically using publicly available data and should not be considered as financial advice. All figures are sourced from Yahoo Finance and SEC EDGAR and may contain inaccuracies. Always verify data with primary sources (SEC filings, company IR) before making investment decisions.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.
Current: Full Fiscal Year 2024 | Data Source: SEC EDGAR
Levered FCF is cash that can't be faked. Unlike earnings which can be manipulated through accounting (depreciation schedules, revenue recognition, etc.), cash flow is simple: the money is either in the bank or it's not.
This metric shows how much actual cash the company generates after paying for:
A company with strong Levered FCF can pay dividends, buy back shares, pay down debt, or invest in growth - all from real cash, not accounting profits.
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Customer Example: If Microsoft (AMD customer) beats revenue estimates by 20%, it likely means they bought more chips than analysts expected. This is bullish for AMD's upcoming earnings.
Supplier Example: If TSMC (AMD supplier) reports strong demand from AMD, that confirms AMD's production is ramping up.
By the time AMD reports, you already have data points from 5+ related companies. Smart analysts piece these together to predict earnings before they're announced.
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For example, AMD's Data Center segment has ~40% margins while Gaming might be ~15%. A shift toward Data Center means higher overall profitability even if total revenue stays flat.
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